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Public record Food · County

The Grocery Dollar and the Farm Gate: What the Numbers Can Actually Tell Southside

Present

A local farm census, a revised federal food-dollar model and a household receipt measure different things. Reading them together exposes the questions a useful local price investigation must answer.

Boxes of peaches beside a half-bushel price sign at the USDA Farmers Market in Washington, D.C.
Archival market and rural-life context, not a current local price, supplier, product, or interviewed business. Lance Cheung / U.S. Department of Agriculture · Public domain: official-duty photograph by a U.S. federal employee; Commons PD USDA and Flickr Public Domain Mark review.
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At a glance

  • County farm sales, national food supply-chain shares and individual grocery bills are not interchangeable measures.
  • USDA revised its Food Dollar methodology in March 2026; archived and current estimates should not be spliced into one trend.
  • A credible local basket needs stable product definitions, dated observations and explicit treatment of substitutions, discounts and missing prices.

Inside this member reading

A local farm census, a revised federal food-dollar model and a household receipt measure different things. Reading them together exposes the questions a useful local price investigation must answer.

This 15-minute installment develops an original, source-linked method for understanding local market decisions. The full analysis and worked examples are included in the September 20 Market Ledger edition.

Prices in the worked examples are hypothetical; no current local offer or firsthand interview is implied.

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Sources & verification

USDA NASS — 2022 Census of Agriculture, Pittsylvania County profile

2022 reference year; checked September 20, 2026. Two-page primary county profile. Supports the specifically attributed county figures, not current local prices or individual farm outcomes.

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USDA ERS — Food Dollar overview

Page updated May 11, 2026; model/data update March 10, 2026; checked September 20, 2026. Current nominal coverage 2007–2024; archived model estimates are not directly comparable.

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USDA ERS — Food Dollar summary findings

Updated March 10, 2026; checked September 20, 2026. Supports 2024 national farm-share figures and revised food definition. These are not Gretna retail margins.

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USDA ERS — Food Dollar documentation

Updated March 10, 2026; checked September 20, 2026. Three accounting bills, national-average scope and explicit limits on interpreting shares as profit or net income.

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Bureau of Labor Statistics — Consumer Price Index frequently asked questions

Current official methodology FAQ checked September 20, 2026; page publication date not established. Supports population coverage and the distinction between price change and inter-area price levels. No current CPI rate is claimed.

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NIST — Unit Pricing: National Legal Metrology Working Group

Current official guidance index checked September 20, 2026; page publication date not established. Supports unit-price label clarity. All prices, baskets, travel allowances and calculations in this draft are original hypothetical examples, not observed market data or statements of Virginia law.

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This article was written with AI assistance from the linked sources. No firsthand interview or visit is implied. Source dates and limits are identified in the reporting. Advertising does not determine editorial coverage. Request a correction or read our standards.

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